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Mortgage Squad Advisors
Original dataUpdated June 2026 · live from the Bank of Canada

Canadian Mortgage Rate History

The 10-year story of the two numbers that move every Canadian mortgage — the Bank of Canada policy rate (which drives variable rates) and the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield (which anchors fixed rates). Live, sourced, and free to cite.

BoC policy rate GoC 5-yr yield
June 2016June 2026
0%1%2%3%4%5%201620182020202220242026
Bank of Canada policy rate
2.25%
+1.75% over 10 yrs·range 0.255.00%
Variable mortgages move with this.
GoC 5-year bond yield
2.99%
+2.42% over 10 yrs·range 0.314.25%
5-year fixed rates anchor here.

How to read this chart

The teal line = variable rates

The Bank of Canada policy rate is a step function — it only changes on the Bank’s fixed announcement dates. Prime (and your variable-rate payment) moves almost in lockstep with it, so the flat-then-jump shape is exactly what a variable borrower feels.

The gold line = fixed rates

The 5-year Government of Canada bond yield trades every day and usually moves aheadof the Bank — it’s the market’s bet on where rates are heading. When the gold line turns, 5-year fixed mortgage rates tend to follow within weeks.

Cite this chart

Mortgage Squad Advisors, "Canadian Mortgage Rate History," June 2026. Data: Bank of Canada Valet API. https://www.mortgagesquad.ca/insights/canadian-mortgage-rate-history

Journalists & researchers: free to cite or embed with attribution and a link. For a custom data pull or commentary, contact info@mortgagesquad.ca.

History is context. Your rate is today.

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Sources & method: Both series are pulled live from the Bank of Canada Valet API (used under the Bank of Canada terms of use): the Target for the Overnight Rate (series V39079) and the Government of Canada 5-year benchmark bond yield (BD.CDN.5YR.DQ.YLD). Charted monthly over 10 years and refreshed automatically. The bond yield is a proxy for where 5-year fixed mortgage rates anchor, not a mortgage rate itself. Reviewed by Mortgage Squad Advisors (FSRA #13737). Last data point: 2026-06-24.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Bank of Canada.

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