Bank of Canada interest rate decision
The current policy rate, the next scheduled decision, and exactly what each move means for your mortgage — tracked live and updated the moment the Bank announces.
Where rates stand — and what it means for you
The Bank has held the target for the overnight rate at 2.25% since January 27, 2026. Chartered-bank prime now sits at 4.45%, so a strong variable file prices near 3.45% today. Rates are steady — no immediate change to variable-rate payments. Attention turns to the next decision.
The 5-year Government of Canada bond yield — the market’s forward bet — has been rising, so markets are leaning toward firmer policy ahead, and 5-year fixed mortgage rates may drift higher. The 5-year GoC yield is currently 3.54%. The next call comes October 28, 2026.
This is market information, not advice or a forecast — and not a rate quote. Your actual rate depends on your file and is confirmed in writing by a licensed advisor.
How a Bank of Canada decision reaches your mortgage
The Bank of Canada announces its policy rate on eight scheduled dates a year. When it moves, the big banks usually adjust their prime rate within a day, and in recent years prime has stayed 2.20 percentage points above the policy rate. What that means for you depends on the kind of borrowing you have.
Adjustable-rate (variable payment) mortgages
Your rate is prime plus or minus your discount, so your payment changes soon after prime does, in either direction.
Fixed-payment variable mortgages
Your payment stays the same, but the split between interest and principal shifts. After a hike, less of each payment reduces your balance. If rates rise far enough, you can reach a trigger rate, where the payment only covers the interest and your lender will ask you to adjust.
Fixed-rate mortgages
Your rate and payment are locked until the end of your term, so a decision doesn’t change them. It can still shape the rate you’ll be offered at renewal. New fixed rates follow Government of Canada bond yields more than the policy rate itself.
HELOCs and other prime-based borrowing
Home equity lines of credit are priced off prime, so their rate moves with every decision.
Before the next announcement
If you’re buying, a pre-approval with a rate hold protects you if rates rise before you close. If you’re renewing within the next few months, many lenders will hold a rate about 120 days ahead, so you don’t have to guess the decision. Remember that qualifying still uses the stress test, the greater of your contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%, whichever way the Bank moves.
Mortgage Squad Advisors, "Bank of Canada Rate Decision," accessed September 23, 2026. Data: Bank of Canada Valet API. https://www.mortgagesquad.ca/insights/bank-of-canada-rate-decision
Journalists & researchers: free to cite with attribution. For commentary from our Principal Broker, contact info@mortgagesquad.ca.
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Sources & method: The current target for the overnight rate, chartered-bank prime, and the 5-year Government of Canada benchmark bond yield are pulled live from the Bank of Canada Valet API and refresh automatically. The “held / cut / raised” read is derived directly from the rate series; the “what to watch” note reflects the recent direction of the 5-year bond yield. Scheduled announcement dates follow the Bank’s published fixed announcement dates. Interpretation is market framing, not advice, a forecast, or a rate quote. Reviewed by Mortgage Squad Advisors (FSRA #13737).
Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Bank of Canada.
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